Recommended Readings

Barben, D., Fisher, E., Selin, C., & Guston, D. H.

Anticipatory Governance: Practical Upgrades

2009

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Brundage, Miles, et al.

The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation

2018

Future of Humanity Institute

Brynjolfsson, Erik, & McAfee, Andrew

The Business of Artificial Intelligence: What It Can—and Cannot—Do for Your Organization

2017

Harvard Business Review

Cuhls, Kerstin

Mental Time Travel in Strategic Foresight

2020

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Fuerth, L.S.

Foresight and anticipatory governance

2009

Foresight

Fuerth, Leon S.

Anticipatory Governance: Practical Upgrades. The Project on Forward Engagement

2009

The George Washington University

Fuerth, Leon S., & Faber, Evan M. H.

Anticipatory Governance: Practical Upgrades—Equipping the Executive Branch to Cope with Increasing Speed and Complexity of Major Challenges

2012

The Project on Forward Engagement

Gentry, John A., & Gordon, Joseph S.

Strategic Warning Intelligence: History, Challenges, and Prospects

2019

Georgetown University Press

Geurts, A., Gutknecht, R., Warnke, P., Goetheer, A., Schirrmeister, E., Bakker, B., & Meissner, S.

New perspectives for data-supported foresight: The hybrid AI-expert approach

2022

Futures & Foresight Science

Habegger, Beat

Securing the Future: The Use of Strategic Foresight in the Security Sector

2022

Geneva Centre for Security Policy

Heuer, Richards J., Jr.

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

1999

Center for the Study of Intelligence

Kamien, D.

An introduction to strategic foresight for law firms

2023

ILTA

Kamien, David G

The McGraw-Hill Homeland Security Handbook: Strategic Guidance for a Coordinated Approach to Effective Security and Emergency Management

2012

McGraw-Hill

Kamien, David,

MindCollect: An Information Needs Management System for Coalition Situational Awareness, Sensemaking, Decision Making, and Mission Integration

2016

ICCRTS-KSCO 2016 Conference

Kent, Sherman

Words of Estimative Probability

1964

Studies in Intelligence

Kuosa, T.

Towards Strategic Intelligence : Foresight, Intelligence, and Policy-Making

2014

Dynamic Futures Publications

Mellers, Barbara, et al.

Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions

2015

Perspectives on Psychological Science

Mietzner, Dana, & Reger, Guido

Advantages and Disadvantages of Scenario Approaches for Strategic Foresight

2005

International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning

Monteiro, B. and R. Dal Borgo

Supporting decision making with strategic foresight: An emerging framework for proactive and prospective governments.

2023

OECD Working Papers on Public Governance

Monteiro, B. and R. Dal Borgo

Supporting decision making with strategic foresight: An emerging framework for proactive and prospective governments

2032

OECD Working Papers on Public Governance

National Research Council

Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations

2011

The National Academies Press

OECD

Tackling Policy Challenges Through Public Sector Innovation: A Strategic Portfolio Approach

2023

OECD Publishing

Ramirez, Rafael, & Wilkinson, Angela

Strategic Reframing: The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach

2016

Oxford University Press

Schoemaker, Paul J.H.

Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic Thinking

1995

Sloan Management Review

Schwartz, Peter

The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World

1991

Random House

Sjöblom, Jenny

Strategic Foresight for Innovation: International Insights to Address Sweden's Future Challenges

2024

Sweden's Innovation Agency

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

2007

Wikipedia

Tetlock, Philip E., & Gardner, Dan

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

2015

Crown Publishers

Treverton, Gregory F.

Reshaping National Intelligence for an Age of Information

2001

Cambridge University Press

Treverton, Gregory F.

Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis

2005

RAND Corporation

Treverton, Gregory F.

Risks and Riddles

2007

Smithsonian Magazine

Treverton, Gregory F.

Reorganizing U.S. Domestic Intelligence: Assessing the Options

2008

RAND Corporation

Treverton, Gregory F.

Intelligence for an Age of Terror

2009

Cambridge University Press

Treverton, Gregory F.

Reshaping National Intelligence for an Age of Information.

2001

Cambridge University Press.

Treverton, Gregory F.

What Should We Expect of Intelligence

2011

Central Intelligence Agency

Treverton, Gregory F., & Agrell, Wilhelm

National Intelligence and Science: Beyond the Great Divide in Analysis and Policy

2015

Oxford University Press

U.S. National Intelligence Council

Global Trends: Paradox of Progress

2017

Office of the Director of National Intelligence

Visioning Working Group

Project on National Security Reform: Visioning Working Group Report

2010

Project on National Security Reform

Weaver, Warren

Science and Complexity

1948

American Scientist

If you have any resources or documents you'd like to share before the workshop, please send them to

david@mind-alliance.com